Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.455048 0.500112 0.548451 0.604284 0.667149 0.735916 0.817071
2025-10-26 0.382603 0.445314 0.517442 0.607071 0.716201 0.845703 1.012417
2025-11-02 0.341969 0.413517 0.499762 0.612464 0.757449 0.939885 1.190336
2025-11-09 0.304970 0.379644 0.472954 0.599756 0.770136 0.994886 1.320161
2025-11-16 0.283205 0.361641 0.462812 0.605193 0.804201 1.078357 1.495247
2025-11-23 0.261816 0.341593 0.447304 0.600612 0.822364 1.139756 1.644231
2025-11-30 0.246463 0.327972 0.438696 0.603834 0.850536 1.216751 1.824305
2025-12-07 0.229662 0.310827 0.423467 0.595600 0.860139 1.265735 1.965058
2025-12-14 0.215095 0.295631 0.409609 0.587736 0.868798 1.313027 2.107579
2025-12-21 0.198797 0.276781 0.388978 0.567685 0.856073 1.323976 2.188057
2025-12-28 0.192234 0.271663 0.388140 0.577822 0.892129 1.418187 2.427709
2026-01-04 0.185577 0.265899 0.385791 0.585125 0.923777 1.507623 2.670358
2026-01-11 0.178309 0.258892 0.381243 0.588804 0.950147 1.591604 2.917304
2026-01-18 0.171332 0.251915 0.376277 0.591366 0.974772 1.675130 3.176619
2026-01-25 0.165515 0.246363 0.373133 0.596594 1.004353 1.770774 3.475984
2026-02-01 0.156609 0.235375 0.360448 0.584282 1.000468 1.801020 3.637080
2026-02-08 0.151823 0.230749 0.357917 0.589550 1.029823 1.900156 3.969993
2026-02-15 0.145579 0.223386 0.350334 0.585111 1.039980 1.960940 4.222721
2026-02-22 0.141135 0.218754 0.347071 0.588233 1.065077 2.055620 4.574583
2026-03-01 0.135088 0.211123 0.338202 0.580256 1.067086 2.100497 4.807733
2026-03-08 0.129500 0.204005 0.329839 0.572636 1.069100 2.145471 5.049119
2026-03-15 0.122375 0.193945 0.315786 0.553204 1.044849 2.128264 5.118205
2026-03-22 0.120232 0.192382 0.316778 0.563029 1.083455 2.260958 5.633971